september mama

i've been spending some time looking into the statistics for due dates (for spontaneous, not induced, labor) in an effort to make a guess about when the squirrely girl will be born.

looks like the breakdown is consistently something like this:

37 weeks - 5.69%
38 weeks - 14.36%
39 weeks - 21.56%
40 weeks - 32.44%
41 weeks - 14.65%
42 weeks - 3.40%
43+ weeks - 0.13%

the problem i am (still) having is that is that i really, really think she was conceived the day before my period, which would make me two weeks further on, according to 'due date calculations.' doesn't mean she'll be born two weeks early, of course, so it kinda confounds the whole thing.

then i just read a study saying that the average white first-timer will give birth 274 days after ovulation, which i assume is the method the OBs are using b/c that puts me at may 11 if i got pregnant when they think i did.

i know--i need to get over it and let it go, because i can't control it anyway--i realize that, and i'm not looking to control anything, i'm just really curious! i want to know when she will be here. more than that, i think i want to know if i am right about my conception date.

blah. "the waiting is the hardest part."

edit 3/2/09:

on looking at the moon phase calendar i have singled out a few super-likely dates. i think i got pregnant just after the 8/3 new moon, so this will be an experiment to see if she is born during the same phase as i think she was conceived, albeit 10 cycles later. the other probable (and medically assumed) conception date of 2 weeks post-menstruation puts her smack on the full moon cycle.

new moon date: 4/26 (and 5/25)
full moon: 5/11

i'm still vaguely aware of the lingering "may day" possibility, but considering these strong lunar influences right around her due date i'm not sure that will happen. unless her will power is reeeeally strong!

edit 3/25/09:

at my mother blessing, in a moment of "automatic writing," i placed my bet on april 28th as her date. i don't know why.